The aim of this study is to assess the relationship between trade balance and public budget in the ASEAN countries. Using yearly data for the period between 1980 and 2012 in ten member states, a long-run relationship between current account balance and net lending emerge, both in ASEAN-6 and in ASEAN-10 countries. Granger causality analysis shows the predominance of the Ricardian equivalence in the South-Asia area. Moreover, mixture models produce four homogeneous clusters. Finally, convergence measures show interesting results.

The twin deficits in the ASEAN countries

Cosimo Magazzino
2020-01-01

Abstract

The aim of this study is to assess the relationship between trade balance and public budget in the ASEAN countries. Using yearly data for the period between 1980 and 2012 in ten member states, a long-run relationship between current account balance and net lending emerge, both in ASEAN-6 and in ASEAN-10 countries. Granger causality analysis shows the predominance of the Ricardian equivalence in the South-Asia area. Moreover, mixture models produce four homogeneous clusters. Finally, convergence measures show interesting results.
2020
ASEAN
South-East Asia
twin deficits
Ricardian equivalence
panel
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12572/32911
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